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Claim Canc - Cancer Cured by 2010

Category: Science & Technology:Medicine, Biochemistry JUDGED at 0
Owner:0, Bank
Judge:306, SMWinnie
due date:2014/12/31

The Claim

Cancer mortality in the United States will be reduced by 90%, relative to 1994, in any year through 2010. (Mortality rates are determined by dividing the number of deaths by the population.) Cancer includes leukemia, but excludes non-invasive solid tumors, and benign tumors. No adjustments will be made for age-related risk, or for reduction or increase in cancer-causing behavior or conditions, such as smoking, air pollution, or ozone loss.

Judge's Statement

Judgment entered 10 January 2013 based on a compilation from the CDC/NCHS National Vital Statistics Service (such compilation, the "NVSS-LCD Table"). The NVSS-LCD Table was preliminarily released in November and shows a decrease in cancer mortality of roughly 10% since 1994, far less than the 90% reduction required for a YES judgment.

Previous judge's statement: I will judge based on the intent of this claim, if I perceive such intent to be obvious. If such intent is ambiguous I will judge on the basis of the precise wording. If both are ambiguous, I will look for a solution which follows IF/FX precedent insofar as such precedent is apparent to me and applicable to the claim. I will seek the guidance of the claim's owner/author in interpreting the claim. It's his or her question - s/he ought to get the answer sought. If I believe this claim to have met a YES or NO condition, and if I believe judgement will be controversial, I will post a prospective judgement to fx-discuss and forestall entering the judgement for a comment period to be announced in the post.

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