Claim Cars - Self-driving cars by 2010

The Claim

"Intelligent" self-driving road vehicles (defined below) enter widespread usage somewhere in the world by the end of 2010.

To qualify for the purposes of this claim, a self-driving vehicle must satisfy the following criteria:

1. It must be reliably able to follow a non-straight road at a speed of at least 50 mph (80.5 kph) without input from a human driver. Furthermore, this autonomous operation must be legal in the state/country in which the vehicle resides.
2. It must have a passenger/cargo capacity of at least 300 kg.
3. It must be practically and legally able to travel on roads commonly used by cars and trucks and to mingle with normal road traffic. However, it need not operate autonomously while doing this. Thus, a car which requires an active human driver under most conditions, but can operate autonomously on a special highway or in a special lane, may qualify for the purposes of the claim.
4. While driving autonomously, the vehicle may use any sort of landmarks or beacons to navigate. However, it may not be towed, pushed, pulled, or physically constrained to follow the desired path. Thus, a vehicle towed or carried by another vehicle or a conveyor belt, or running on rail track, etc., does not qualify.

Autonomous retrofits of previously manufactured non-autonomous vehicles may qualify for this claim.

This claim will be judged YES if the judge finds evidence that at least 10,000 such vehicles have been manufactured and are in operation before December 31, 2010. Otherwise it will be judged NO.

Judge's Statement

None.

The Market

Price Plot for life of Cars

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