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Claim MP08Dn - Dem O8' nom. top fundraiser

Category: Politics:US Politics JUDGED at 0
Owner:8671, claims_creation
Judge:38, highlander
created:2007/08/08
due date:2008/09/01

The Claim

This claim will be true if the top Democratic fund raiser in 2007 according to OpenSecrets.org wins that parties nomination at their 2008 convention.

The idea here is to assess the chance that early fund raising is the major factor in determining who the Democratic nominee will be.

Judge's Statement

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundraising_for_the_2008_United_States_presidential_election#Through_December_31.2C_2007

This link spells out how the Democratic money primary went a little better than Open Secrets(but is confirmed by data on Open Secrets).

The Market

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Price Plot for life of MP08Dn
Last trade price: 0
Current ask price: 100
Current bid price: 0
Pairs outstanding: 30
Players participating: 4
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Your cash balance: 1.31
Your holdings in this Claim: 0
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