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Claim T2015X - Pays 0.95 in 2015

Category: Science & Technology:Idea Futures (and Experimental Claims) JUDGED at 95
Owner:79, jbs
Judge:38, highlander
due date:2015/01/01

The Claim

This claim is automatically judged at 0.95 on Jan 1, 2015. Its purpose is to determine how much FX investors will pay for a guaranteed long term small profit. Some people have said in fx-discuss that they can easily make 5-10%/year in short term claims; if this feeling is widespread, the maximum offer to buy T2015X will be significantly less than 95.

Another way of thinking about this claim is that it's a bet that you're not going to find anything more attractive to do with your cash between now and 2015. Sellers are betting that you will.

Note that someone who sells a YES at 95 (buys a NO at 5) and later buys it back at 90 (sells it at 10) has doubled her money.

See also T2015.

Judge's Statement


The Market

Price Plot for life of T2015X
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