Claim TVCD - Sony/Philips CD videodisk wins

Category: Arts & Entertainment:Entertainment Technology

JUDGED at 50

Owner:	16
Judge:	97, Loophole

created:	1995/01/26
due date:	1996/12/31

The Claim

There are two recently proposed high capacity compact laserdisk standards; one proposed by Sony and Phillips, and another by Time Warner and Toshiba. This claim pays $0.50 (draw) if both formats never ship in quantity or flop in the marketplace or if they have roughly equivalent market share, $1.00 if the Sony format wins, and $0.00 if the Time Warner format wins.

"Ship in quantity" is defined as more than 1 million players in customer hands, AND more than 500 entertainment-oriented titles available in the given format available in typical video stores
"Equivalent market share": market share of each format measured in numbers of disks is between 25% and 75%.
"Win": market share of the winning format is >75%.

If a "merged" standard ships in quantity, but the "merged" format is substantially similar to one of the original two formats and dissimilar to the other, the original format at the core of the merged format will be considered to have won.

Judge's Statement

See the July 1996 Scientific American article "Next-Generation Compact Discs" by Alan E. Bell for a discussion of the compromise that was reached between the two competing formats, now called the Digital Versatile Disk.

See http://www.cd-info.com/CDIC/Technology/DVD/dvd-faq.html and http://www.ima.org/cp/dvdsig/faq.html for more information. I expect to make a judgement soon.

The Market

Price Plot for life of TVCD

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